Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.018933 0.022031 0.025451 0.029503 0.034169 0.039370 0.045605
2025-12-07 0.014245 0.018230 0.023037 0.029246 0.037043 0.046493 0.058803
2025-12-14 0.010793 0.015009 0.020498 0.028140 0.038472 0.051920 0.070716
2025-12-21 0.008641 0.012930 0.018905 0.027785 0.040589 0.058312 0.084627
2025-12-28 0.007574 0.012089 0.018763 0.029267 0.045281 0.068661 0.105227
2026-01-04 0.006577 0.011137 0.018251 0.030041 0.048950 0.077904 0.125349
2026-01-11 0.005461 0.009776 0.016859 0.029181 0.049895 0.083052 0.139776
2026-01-18 0.004676 0.008814 0.015932 0.028880 0.051604 0.089482 0.156870
2026-01-25 0.003964 0.007847 0.014832 0.028085 0.052308 0.094249 0.171651
2026-02-01 0.003414 0.007079 0.013953 0.027525 0.053292 0.099517 0.187788
2026-02-08 0.002991 0.006481 0.013291 0.027249 0.054713 0.105642 0.206047
2026-02-15 0.002585 0.005845 0.012458 0.026510 0.055130 0.109924 0.221303
2026-02-22 0.002415 0.005688 0.012569 0.027698 0.059522 0.122293 0.253576
2026-03-01 0.002157 0.005293 0.012132 0.027695 0.061510 0.130234 0.278127
2026-03-08 0.001861 0.004759 0.011316 0.026761 0.061427 0.134014 0.294719
2026-03-15 0.001654 0.004398 0.010830 0.026480 0.062701 0.140702 0.318057
2026-03-22 0.001584 0.004363 0.011085 0.027926 0.067981 0.156421 0.362331
2026-03-29 0.001477 0.004216 0.011051 0.028682 0.071776 0.169318 0.401819
2026-04-05 0.001297 0.003842 0.010408 0.027867 0.071772 0.173753 0.422846
2026-04-12 0.001166 0.003579 0.010002 0.027583 0.073003 0.181118 0.451354
2026-04-19 0.001029 0.003274 0.009442 0.026824 0.072955 0.185475 0.473255
2026-04-26 0.000918 0.003025 0.008993 0.026289 0.073402 0.191048 0.498650
2026-05-03 0.000830 0.002830 0.008662 0.026026 0.074519 0.198361 0.529058